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Equinties - the weekender
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Gm Equinauts
Alan King makes EDWARDSTONE a nr and the whole of racing twitter lose their mind.
I think the pulling of Edwardstone today on the account of the "ground" may be the final straw for alot of racing fans.
If Hendo withdraws CH then I think they may aswell pack up and go home and move the sport permanently to Ireland— Luke. (@lukemusf)
9:33 AM • Nov 19, 2022
Is it too soft or too quick for Edwardstone I’m genuinely not even sure anymore? Completely farcical. He has wins on ground ranging from GS to Heavy. Fine the trainer the next time the horse turns up on today’s ground, only way forward
— Jack (@PuntingWinners)
9:07 AM • Nov 19, 2022
WHO GIVES AF?
Work it out, if CONSTITUTION HILL runs, which I don't think he will, has it not occurred to you that EDWARDSTONE might just be being saved for something else?
And anyway, even if King did genuinely pull EDWARDSTONE out because of the Ascot going (he did mention he had a horse jarr up on it yesterday), then that's his fucking business, well, his and that of the owners...WHO PAY THE BILLS
Right, as I'm just about to send this newsletter out, CONSTITUTION HILL is a non-runner.
Constitution Hill is a NR.
*Racing Twitter is typing…*
— Ash Symonds Journalism (@ASymondsJourno)
12:04 PM • Nov 19, 2022
Check out Nico's words here. He gets talking about water tables. No, it's not some spring water bottled sponsored sports league, it's the scientific name for basically how much water is contained in the upper surface of the ground. Superficially, the surface might be good or even soft, but the ground below is still hard af.
Let the trainers do what they need to do.
BREAKING: Constitution Hill won't be running at @Ascot today...
@MCYeeehaaa@NdeBoinville
— At The Races (@AtTheRaces)
12:03 PM • Nov 19, 2022
Anyway, let's dive in
Weekend Preview
It's a great weekend of action across the UK and Ireland over the next couple of days as we are treated to two Grade 1s from Haydock and Punchestown.
A PLUS TARD, CONSTITUTION HILL, L'HOMME PRESSE, and STATE MAN are all (at the time of writing) making their seasonal reappearances this weekend so let's get stuck in.
G2 1965 Chase
The first Graded race of the weekend is the Grade 2 1965 Chase and the UK's leading charge for this year's Cheltenham Gold Cup, L'HOMME PRESSE, makes his first start as a second-season chaser.
Who are you most looking forward to seeing on ITV 𝙩𝙤𝙢𝙤𝙧𝙧𝙤𝙬? 🤩
A Plus Tard 👋
L'Homme Presse 🏃
Constitution Hill 💪
Edwardstone 💙#ITVRacing
— ITV Racing (@itvracing)
3:27 PM • Nov 18, 2022
Venetia Williams is 0-38 this season and hasn't seen the winner's enclosure since April, though this is probably due to the abnormally fast ground conditions across the country.
Despite this worrying stat, her seven-year-old two-time Grade 1 winner is 2/2 in races off a long break and has by far the best form in the race - the ground was getting quicker by the second at Ascot yesterday and the course has applied water onto the track overnight.
L'HOMME PRESSE is a proper horse and should take all the beating today, but let's see what he's up against.
DO YOUR JOB a nr (only ran yesterday) and HITMAN off to Haydock, the field is down to three runners with SAINT CALVADOS and COOLE CODY the competition.
The former began his last two seasons at Kempton in the King George and he ran great races on both occasions - the ride he got from Gavin Sheehan in last year's renewal was what cost him as he hit the front too soon before his run petered out.
🌪 The Tornado rips through @kemptonparkrace
Tornado Flyer gives @WillieMullinsNH a second victory in the King George VI Chase for @dan2231
👍 Asterion Forlonge OK after his fall at the last
— Racing TV (@RacingTV)
3:13 PM • Dec 26, 2021
Freshness is the key to this nine-year-old (he won on his seasonal reappearance in 2017, 2018, and 2019 and he was second to MIN in the 2020 Ryanair following a 71-day break) so he should run a big race and the booking of David Maxwell means you are probably getting a bigger price about SAINT CALVADOS as well, despite his handicap... WHAT? I love David Maxwell but you cant tell me he's not a fucking handicap.
Min breaks his Cheltenham duck after battling to win the Ryanair Chase 🙌
Watch LIVE now!
📺 @ITV
📱 bit.ly/2TtRVFM#CheltenhamFestival#ITVRacing
— ITV Racing (@itvracing)
2:58 PM • Mar 12, 2020
While we're on the subject of handicappers...COOLE CODY. He's a smart handicapper that is simply rated too high for handicaps following his Festival win last season so the Graded route is now the only option to bring his weight down.
COOLE CODY 🤝 CHELTENHAM
🏆 Craft Irish Whiskey Co Plate
🏆 Paddy Power Gold Cup
🏆 Racing Post Gold Cup#TheFestival
— CheltenhamRacecourse (@CheltenhamRaces)
4:20 PM • Mar 17, 2022
G2 Coral Hurdle
The Grade 2 Coral Hurdle has been at the centre of news and speculation all week as we are still yet to know if potentially the sport's best horse, CONSTITUTION HILL, will go under starter's orders.
Who's excited to see this lad back in action ⁉️
#ConstitutionHill | @Ascot
— Great British Racing (@GBRacing)
8:54 AM • Nov 18, 2022
This horse needs no introduction - unbeaten under rules, a monster on debut at Sandown, followed up by a brilliant run in treacherous conditions in the Grade 1 Tolworth, and a record-smashing time in the Supreme Hurdle on decent ground when he was last seen.
👏 Constitution Hill - a brilliant winner of the Sky Bet Supreme Novices' Hurdle
🏇 Three runs
🥇 Three wins
🏆 G1 Supreme Novices' Hurdle
🏆 G1 Tolworth Hurdle
🚀 A potential superstar for @NdeBoinville & @sevenbarrows@CheltenhamRaces— Racing TV (@RacingTV)
1:37 PM • Mar 15, 2022
However, following 'good racing ground' at Ascot yesterday, trainer Nicky Henderson told Sky Sports Racing that he will take "no risks" as to whether his star hurdler will run.
"No chances will be taken" - With the ground drying out at @Ascot, @sevenbarrows says they will "see what the morning brings", with Constitution Hill set to make his return tomorrow... @mickfitzg
— At The Races (@AtTheRaces)
4:17 PM • Nov 18, 2022
Rightly or wrongly, despite the official going reading good to soft, Ascot Racecourse has decided to turn the taps on and water the course overnight, seemingly to please Mr Henderson.
The long and short of it is: Henderson is always looking out for the safety of his horses, there can be no question about that. This winter has been dryer than usual and the 44mm of rain that has touched the ground this week has probably been soaked up better than what would usually happen at this time of the year.
However, it is worrying that a course has had to water on Good to soft ground - let Henderson do whatever he wants with his horses, he isn't stupid and they will get a sufficient amount of runs into CONSTITUTION HILL before the big Spring target of the Champion Hurdle, but why is a track watering on ground that was perfect yesterday?
It does look bad that a course is watering based on the comments of one trainer about one horse despite it potentially rubbing other trainers and connections up the wrong way, as it has done with Paul Nicholls.
Prob be soft tomorrow with watering !!! 2 weeks ago sandown abandoned for water logging now Ascot watering after 44mm rain in the last 7 days .🤔
— Paul Nicholls OBE (@PFNicholls)
7:58 PM • Nov 18, 2022
Anyway, if Hend's beast does turn up tomorrow, Olly Murphy's BREWIN'UPASTORM looks to be the next best in the market, a horse who unshipped his rider at the first hurdle lto (we backed him that day ffs).
Brewin’upastorm is in fine form this morning 🤩
— Joshua Stacey (@TheRacingJosh)
8:05 AM • Oct 8, 2021
This is his first run right-handed since his 11l win in a handicap at Taunton eight starts ago and he already has one race victory over GOSHEN in the bag after his Lingfield success last season - is he the horse who could pick up the pieces for second place or even win it if CH doesn't run? Yep, probaby.
Great performance! Brewin’upastorm bounces back from his fall in the Relkeel as he digs deep to beat Darver Star and Goshen at @LingfieldPark for @AidanColeman and @O_J_murphy91! #WinterMillion
— At The Races (@AtTheRaces)
2:33 PM • Jan 23, 2022
As for the rest, GOSHEN returns to hurdles following his disappointing run over fences last month, a race he finished a distant third.
Declared this weekend:
Constitution Hill
L'Homme Presse
Hitman
Goshen
A Plus Tard
Bristol De Mai
Frodon
Protektorat
Run For Oscar🤩
— William Hill Racing (@WillHillRacing)
10:31 AM • Nov 17, 2022
Chasing will be reverted to after today for the livewire but back on a right-handed course and over hurdles, his first run in these conditions since his brilliant win in the Grade 2 Kingwell Hurdle in February should suit perfectly.
Goshen retains the Wincanton Matchbook Betting Exchange Kingwell Hurdle
An impressive performance from Adagio too, scrapping all the way to the line
Watch LIVE
📺 @ITV
📱 link.itv.com/32p21MR#ITVRacing
— ITV Racing (@itvracing)
3:25 PM • Feb 19, 2022
Our view: We'd all love to see a great race between these stars for CONSITUTION HILL to then really turn it on in the last home straight. Ascot knows it's what's going to sell tickets, hence the watering. BREWIN' to run a massive race in behind.
G1 Betfair Chase
The first Grade 1 contest of the NH season beckons today as the Betfair Chase at Haydock takes centre stage with five going to post - let's take a moment to remember one of the great performances in this race, KAUTO STAR in 2011.
Looking to be the fifth horse to win this race more than once, A PLUS TARD returns to Haydock following his demolition job last year.
💚 Kauto Star 💛
Magical scenes as he defied Long Run, plus Father Time, to win a fourth Betfair Chase in 2011 a month or so shy of his 12th birthday.
Don't miss tomorrow's renewal live on Racing TV.
#RTVFlashback | @haydockraces | @BetfairRacing @ | @PFNicholls
— Racing TV (@RacingTV)
7:16 AM • Nov 18, 2022
A subsequent Savills Chase runner-up and Cheltenham Gold Cup winner, Henry de Bromhead's eight-year-old has been slowly drifting in the market despite still being odds-on - is this a walkover for him this year or are there horses here who could upset the party?
One horse who did not finish behind A PLUS TARD last year was Joe Tizzard's ELDORADO ALLEN, a horse that has already been seen this season when second behind BRAVEMANSGAME in the Grade 2 Charlie Hall Chase.
"He's jumped them into submission!" 🤩
Bravemansgame wins the bet365 Charlie Hall Chase 🥇
#ITVRacing | @WetherbyRaces | @CobdenHarry | @PFNicholls
— ITV Racing (@itvracing)
2:44 PM • Oct 29, 2022
The eight-year-old grey has been hard to knock since his Grade 2 Denman Chase success last season and his last six races have seen him perform to RPRs of 160+, bar his disappointment in the Betway Bowl. Is 20/1 too big for him?
Eldorado Allen wins the Grade 2 Denman Chase 💥
@colintizzard is in flying form!
— Racing Post (@RacingPost)
2:33 PM • Feb 12, 2022
PROTEKTORAT is another who didn't run in last year's renewal of the race and has seen good progression for Dan Skelton over the last 12 months - a fast-finishing second in the Paddy Power Gold Cup off top weight and a 25l victory in the Many Clouds Chase were some of his highlights.
The icon of the race, BRISTOL DE MAI, makes his sixth outing in the Betfair Chase today in his bid to level KAUTO STAR's record of four successes.
Let's remember his big win in 2017 when he ran to an RPR of 182 to beat CUE CARD.
🐴 Bristol De Mai 🐴
The galloping grey was in a league of his own in the 2017 Betfair Chase. He also won in 2018 and 2020, plus was runner-up in 2019.
#RTVFlashback | @haydockraces | @BetfairRacing @ | @NigelTwistonDav | @Dazjacob10 | @simon_munir
— Racing TV (@RacingTV)
8:03 PM • Nov 16, 2022
Now an 11-year-old, the Haydock specialist could be making his last appearance in this race having been on a slight decline in recent years. Go well, boy!
FRODON completes the line-up for Paul Nicholls though the softer ground at Haydock may cause him to have issues - remember, he was diverted away from the Down Royal Champion Chase due to slow conditions.
A stunning performance from Frodon and Bryony Frost in the 61st Badger Beer Handicap Chase! ⭐️
— Racing Post (@RacingPost)
2:05 PM • Nov 5, 2022
Our view: Having spanked PROTEKTORAT at the festival, the only way A PLUS TARD doesn't win is if he gets stuck in the mud (his drift might even mean he doesn't line up). Now he's matured, PROTEKTORAT looks to be a heavy ground specialist but Haydock have confirmed the ground is only soft and drying all the while - perhaps not enough to blunt the speed of de Bromhead's fave. A race to enjoy imo.
G1 Morgiana Hurdle
The Grade 1 'Willie Mullins' Morgiana Hurdle rounds off the weekend as five have been declared for the contest on Sunday.
Five runners have been declared for Sunday’s Morgiana Hurdle at Punchestown with Paul Townend on State Man. Sharjah and Saldier also represent Willie Mullins, while Jesse Evans and Teahupoo complete the field.
— Racing Post (@RacingPost)
10:22 AM • Nov 18, 2022
Mullins has won this race 11 times and he has three horses in the line-up this year.
STATE MAN tops the market on his first run at two miles since he bolted up in the County Hurdle off 141 at the Cheltenham Festival - currently 10/1 for this year's Champion Hurdle, a bold showing tomorrow is needed to show his claims for the big one in four months' time.
Five runners have been declared for Sunday’s Morgiana Hurdle at Punchestown with Paul Townend on State Man. Sharjah and Saldier also represent Willie Mullins, while Jesse Evans and Teahupoo complete the field.
— Racing Post (@RacingPost)
10:22 AM • Nov 18, 2022
He continued his progression at the Punchestown Festival last season to beat FLAME BEARER over 2m3f in the Champion Novice Hurdle and he is the class act of the field.
Last year's winner SHARJAH is back after nearly a year off the track to defend his title under Patrick Mullins - he is a horse who loves Punchestown (second to HONEYSUCKLE last year and he beat FAUGHEEN in this race in 2018) and will be primed for today.
Willie Mullins and the Riccis land the Unibet Morgiana Hurdle - but with the 'wrong' one! "The silence is defeaning," calls Jerry Hannon as Galway Hurdle winner Sharjah shocks stablemate Faugheen in the Grade 1 highlight at @punchestownrace:
— At The Races (@AtTheRaces)
2:22 PM • Nov 18, 2018
The shortest-priced non-Willie Mullins horse is TEAHUPOO, owned by Robcour - he beat DARASSO comfortably last season and was sent off 9/1 for the Champion Hurdle before he bombed out and finished last.
☕️ Teahupoo - still unbeaten this year
A stunning performance in the @REDMILLSHorse Trial Hurdle from Teahupoo who powers to a classy victory for @gelliott_racing & Robcour (@BrianAcheson) at @GowranPark1
A first victory since October for @Robbie_Power_ 🥊
— Racing TV (@RacingTV)
2:28 PM • Feb 19, 2022
A horse who relishes races when fresh, he beat the Triumph Hurdle winner QUILIXIOUS by a winding 12 lengths in the Grade 3 Fishery Lane Hurdle last year on yielding ground and could be a player in this line-up.
Our view: Without material interest in the race, SHARJAH has got to be the pick for it. He's a legend for the yard and this is HIS race. The young pretenders have him all to beat.
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Risk on
Venetia isn't struggling for winners, it'll be calculated. When she shoots, she rarely misses.
Looks like they’re all needing first runs but it won’t be long will the gates to Venetia Wonderland open up.
— BGP Capital (@equinties)
3:28 PM • Nov 9, 2022
I think..slash I hope, she has her first winner of this season today.
12.40 ACHILLE 7/1
I love him. He was a plot for the midlands national and I'm sure would have won had the jocks stirrups not snapped. He was travelling well on the outside (confident ride!) and unbelievably he’s been dropped for that.
Venetia has been hitting the crossbar recently but ACHILLE might just be her first winner today. He's 12 but still full of running as seen lto and given he probably won't get into the Welsh National next month, today could be his swan song.
14.40 BREWIN'UPASTORM
He was our NAP a few weeks ago before he spooked at a white hurdle. He only has GOSHEN to beat and is a great play at even money.
15.15 BOOTHILL
We're found reasons to take on SO SCOTTISH and think BOOTHILL is better than the field so naturally makes him a play at 3/1.
17.00 THE LAMPLIGHTERFOXY RASCAL to beat, who we've backed before but Bougheys yard hit and miss atm. We think THE LAMPLIGHTER is a solid ew to nothing at 5's.