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Equinties - silly supreme
BGP Capital
January 15, 2026
Gm, Equinauts
We have three big bets coming up this week. Luckily, they’re all within two days of each other so, books allowing, we might be able to treble them up for a fairly month defining bet.
Let’s dive in.
HEADLINE ROUND UP
SILLY SUPREME
We must have been watching a different race yesterday. FIRE WARNING has been shoved into 12/1 for the Supreme after his debut for Hendo yesterday. That’s ahead of MY DADDY PADDY, who to our mind, debut for debut, is a better horse?
He’s also ahead of MOSSY FEN ROAD who looked a weapon last time out.
Honestly, at this moment in time, we’d rather back the Willie Mullins horse FOU DE TOI over him. He’s not even raced! He hasn’t been seen yet (but is apparently quite nice) yet is STILL a more tempting bet at 16’s than the 12’s about FIRE WARNING.
Now, don’t get us wrong, were not knocking his win because he’s entitled to come on for that and he’s a beautiful, beautiful jumper. He was technically perfect the way he saw his strides and picked his knee’s up - a real joy to watch (Hendo will wish CONSTITUTION HILL could hurdle like that) but he didn’t look a massive rocket, if you know what we mean. He didn’t look a ‘monster’. For us, there is absolutely no way in hell he should be that short for a Cheltenham Grade 1 and we’ll be genuinely surprised if he even turns up!
We’d like to be proven wrong mind. We’re horse racing men at the end of the day so we want to see fast horses.
THE GOLDEN TOUCH
In a week of slow news, the Racing Post has produced some prose on PONIROS’ return to hurdles, starting off in the International Hurdle on Cheltenham Trials Day a week Saturday.
Not quite a ‘household name’, most people know who PONIROS is (especially LULAMBA lovers) for he was the Triumph Hurdle at a totally ridiculous 100/1 last year when making his hurdles debut, yes you read that right hurdles DEBUT lmao.
Rather than focus on PONIROS though, we thought we’d show some love for his sire GOLDEN HORN, because don’t forget, he was sold a few years ago by Dalham Stud to Overbury on the basis he produced small stock.
Godolphin bloodstock advisors had an absolute nightmare with GOLDEN HORN. They dismissed him as a racing prospect when a yearling for £200k only to buy into him when he became champion. Purchased as a stallion prospect, they quickly sold him (probably for £100-200k) under the impression he would never produce much of note.
Well, what a grave error they made! He topped the Cheltenham Festival sires’ table last year with winners in GOLDEN ACE in the Champion Hurdle and the aforementioned PONIROS in the Triumph, but regularly has very good winners across both codes, day in day out. Other notable horses he’s produced include Graded winner’s NEMEAN LION and EAST INDIA DOCK as well as a number of smart handicappers such as FIRST STREET and MARK OF GOLD, each of whom won last time out.
Jayne McGivern of Overbury loves the horse and must wake up each morning with a smile on her face knowing what a deal she landed with the very much unloved stallion.
FRANKIE FOLDS
Poor old Frankie Dettori has faced significant financial challenges recently, with fresh updates emerging yesterday. Companies associated with him — Frankie Dettori Limited and Newmarket Activities Limited — have been liquidated, and a report published on Companies House confirms that no funds are available to repay creditors.
This leaves the bulk of the outstanding debts, primarily to HMRC, unpaid, with the taxpayer likely footing the bill for over £750,000. The liquidation update shows £765,542 owed to HMRC as of October 20, 2025, plus £6,391 to a car leasing company, and an additional £115,429 in liquidator's fees — totalling around £888,799.
HMRC has raised "significant concerns" that the companies were used for tax avoidance purposes, and investigations are ongoing (though described as in their early stages with no realisations made yet). This follows Dettori's bankruptcy declaration in March 2025, which he attributed to unpaid tax from involvement in a "tax avoidance scheme" advised by a previous financial adviser. Dettori is set to be discharged from bankruptcy on March 17 next year.
The irony of one of the sport's most successful and highest-earning figures in financial trouble is staggering and goes to show - you can’t avid the tax man… unless you leave for Monaco! Let’s hope he get’s paid well by Amo!
