Equinties - Moore injuries

Gm Equinauts

We missed a huge celebration in racing this week and were rightly called out on it.

Check out these milestones:

Well done, Hayley (head)Turner

Now, let’s dive in.

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HEADLINE ROUND UP

SUPER SUB

The Gary Moore team were looking for a jockey to ride GOSHEN in Saturday’s Grade 2 Coral Hurdle yesterday after the Moore family’s unfortunate trend with horrible injuries continued after Jamie Moore fractured his T7 vertebra, broke two ribs, and fractured his nose during a bad fall at Lingfield Tuesday. 

His brother, Josh, described Jamie as being “stable” in hospital but “okay”, leaving the plate open on GOSHEN who is the 2/1 favourite for Saturday’s £100,000 2m3f contest. The billing was soon filled as it was revealed yesterday that Niall Houlihan would partner the seven-year-old by AUTHORIZED. 

Houlihan is a regular and more than competent jockey for his boss Gary Moore, as shown with his Grade 1 success on EDITEUR DU GITE last season, though he is without a success in 47 rides spanning 192 days. Hopefully, this can change for him on Saturday…although you wouldn’t want to be relying on the enigma that is GOSHEN!

More: https://www.racingpost.com/news/britain/goshen-team-on-hunt-for-replacement-rider-after-jamie-moore-breaks-ribs-and-vertebra-in-fall-aKEIW5Q1uJAF/

MOORE INJURIES

The Moore family is also without Ryan Moore representing them this weekend as he is still feeling the effects from a tumble last weekend.

That left the door open for someone to ride VELA AZUL in the Japan Cup and according to source @netkeiba on Racing X, Hollie Doyle will takeover the ride on the defending champion. 

The 6yo entire was guided to success under Moore in the contest 12 months ago, though has yet to place in four starts since, one of them when 33/1 in the Dubai World Cup behind EQUINOX.

EQUINOX and VELA AZUL are set to duel again in the early hours of Sunday morning, with the defending champion a general 25/1-shot and EQUINOX priced at 1/2.

CROM-WELL SURE

Gavin Cromwell has set his top horses some top targets for the near future, all of which starts with FLOORING PORTER who is set to contest the Grade 2 Florida Pearl Novice Chase at Punchestown on Sunday. 

The 8yo took to fences seamlessly at Cheltenham at the October Meeting, putting two lengths between himself and recent November Meeting winner BROADWAY BOY, and he will step up in class to potentially take on AFFORDALE FURY, SANDOR CLEGANE, and CHURCHSTONEWARRIOR over three miles.

That should be a good clash, though the firepower coming out from Cromwell’s yard is set to continue as ENCANTO BRUNO, another Cheltenham October Meeting winner, will be targeted for the Grade 1 Royal Bond Novice Hurdle at the Fairyhouse Winter Festival. 

Furthermore, LETSBECLEARABOUTIT, a facile 10-length winner in a Grade 3 at Cork, will also contest Grade 1 company at Fairyhouse as he is being lined up for the Grade 1 Drinmore Novice Chase, a contest won by MIGHTY POTTER last year. 

It’s certainly exciting times for these top-class horses.

More: https://www.irishracing.com/news/Cromwell-has-sights-on-Grade-One-glory-at-Fairyhouse/244140

YOUNG BLOOD

15.25 MARKET RASEN

DENBURN heads the market here at 2’s. His pedigree suits bumpers and he demonstrated his ability fto at Market Rasen. He returns to the scene of the crime with a penalty but looking at how he did it last time, he could have carried the field on his back and still won.

Skelton runs second fave YHPRUM’S LAW. We’ve had two bad bets on Skelton’s this week and Dan is moaning about his strike rate so we’re inclined to take on, albeit one of our bets should have won to land a 9/1 treble.

BRAVE MOVE reps Fergal which means he’ll be fit and ready to go. The pedigree is nice enough but nothing special however Fergal can get the best out of them.

STAY IF U WANT TO reps JJ who has been firing them in recently, that said, this chap is now looking a bit exposed in bumpers.

JUST ONE SURF is by a new sire so unknown there but dam side brings nice French blood to the table. Probably one for later down the line in the mud.

KEEPKALMANDKARRYON is a half to ill fated CLARENDON STREET who was the only nice horse the dam produced. If Graeme has learned anything from working with Fergal last year, then he will be primed for this bumper.

GARITSA BAY has a lovely pedigree for this race, a half to two good bumper winners. Historically, Ian Williams has a very good strike rate in bumpers but is that because Ben Brookhouse was running the show? He has gone on his own now and landing his own bumper horses - will Ian care for bumpers now he’s gone? Huge question mark.

The other three can’t win.

Verdict: If Ian Williams’ wasn’t in this race, DENBURN would be a max bet. The way he won his bumper in May was special making 5/2 today a potential gift. But… big but, these bumper previews are based on blood and Ian Williams’ GARITSA BAY is bred to be quite useful, especially in these races. The play is DENBURN 5/2 and hedge with GARITSA BAY at 16’s

15.35 NEWCASTLE

This is harder than the market suggests. HILL SPIRIT is odds on but we’re not enamoured by its pedigree… the trouble is, there isn’t much to take him on with.

Nige had a bumper winner the other day who ran disappointingly on debut and SULEIMAN ARTIST could do the same if he needed the first run, reversing the form with the reopposing fave. In the ground, he MIGHT just be able to reverse it.

Lucinda’s is nicely bred for NH but perhaps not for this race. Plus, she’s a filly and despite carrying f all weight, she might be too weak against the boys.

RAVANELLI can’t win on pedigree.

AIRE SPRAY is interesting. By a new sire, he’s out of a half to COMMANDER OF FLEET. The issue might be his pinhookers made a loss - that’s not a good sign.

The other two can’t win on pedigree.

Verdict: We want to take on HILL SPIRIT but the only two who might be able to win are SELEIMAN ARTIST and AIRE SPRAY. Instead of laying the fave, we’ll side with SULEIMAN ARTIST to improve on this ground.

TODAYS BEST STATS

This section was absent last week, not for lack of trying to find bullish stats - there just weren’t any. A couple today:

Nicholls targets the 12.55 and 13.30 at Wincanton.

Boughey lands nearly 1 in 3 when turning horses out again quickly within 7 day after a last W. ALFRED runs in the 16.30 having won only Sunday.

RISK ON

A bad single on Skelton’s yesterday was quickly turned around by the bumper races. We’re pretty confident on the Market Rasen bumper today, the Newcastle one is hard and one to leave.

Any more bets will be posted on X @equinties.

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